Current Challenges Investors Face
Today’s environment is radically different from what most investors have experienced over the past 30-40 years. MP3 policies were very successful in stimulating a rapid recovery from the pandemic. But this stimulation was applied for too long, resulting in persistent inflation and the need for central banks to slow the economy through aggressive tightening. Explore our research on the current challenges this new environment presents for investors.
February 21, 2023
Our newest co-CIO shares her thoughts on the secular changes shaping economies and markets, how she’s assessing cyclical conditions around the world, and what these dynamics mean for investors.
February 14, 2023
Odds favor a third stage of this tightening cycle likely to be marked either by an economic downturn or failure to meet the inflation target, prompting more tightening. Either would be bad for most portfolios.
January 6, 2023
The dominant driver of markets last year was the historically large and rapid rise in interest rates. This year, the major story is likely to be the impact of higher rates as the tightening flows through to economic conditions.
December 13, 2022
Bridgewater’s Co-CIO Karen Karniol-Tambour describes why today’s environment is so different from what we’ve seen in recent decades and how investors can prepare their portfolios.
November 10, 2022
Greg Jensen and Bob Prince describe how they think the tightening cycle is likely to evolve, what it means for the economy and markets, and their areas of agreement and disagreement.
November 1, 2022
Many of the key markers of an inflation-driven bear market bottom are still missing today — little real economic weakening, few signs the central bank is ready to move to easing, and, as of yet, not much repricing of equities beyond the direct drag from rising interest rates.
October 11, 2022
Strong growth and a self-reinforcing, high level of inflation spurred the sharpest tightening in 60 years. To date, this tightening has led to weaker asset markets, but has had far less impact on economies. As Co-CIO Bob Prince illustrates, the next stage of the tightening cycle is likely to be an economic slowdown as policymakers work to bring inflation back to target.
September 22, 2022
High inflation and an extremely tight labor market leave the Fed with little choice but to tighten until the economy and markets weaken, setting up as bad an environment for financial assets as we have seen.
September 12, 2022
Co-CIO Greg Jensen speaks at the SALT New York forum about the biggest risks he's seeing in markets, Bridgewater's systematic approach to investing, and the big picture dynamics impacting markets and economies today.
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